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Wind AlliesTier 2

at Draagoons - HVN Store Championship

decks
2 (20.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.1% avg ELO +6.4 per match
expected value
47.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1306 · median 1306 · range 1259–1352 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1066 Q1 1162 Q3 1378 1508
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Firebloom Burn 20.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.0% -11.1
Water Fractal 10.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 46.5% -5.7
Wind Astra Cleric 10.0% 0
Wind Lorraine 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 64.6% +23.3
Wind Seiryuu 10.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 10.0% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 63.2% +12.7
Wind Slice & Dice 10.0% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 37 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 37 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Huaji of Heaven's Rise +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Displace +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Charged Mannequin -1.00 0 1 0
Rallied Advance -1.00 0 1 0
Windrider Vanguard +1.00 1 0 0
Inspiring Call +1.00 1 0 0
Andronika, Eternal Herald -1.00 0 1 0
Eternal Magistrate -1.00 0 1 0
Favorable Winds +1.00 1 0 0
Poisoned Coating Oil +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Safeguard Amulet -1.00 0 1 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
Oath of the Sakura +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Shimmercloak Assassin -1.00 0 1 0
Staggering Strike +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Deflecting Edge +1.00 1 0 0
Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster +1.00 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Song of Nurturing -1.00 0 1 0
Manufacture Cell -1.00 0 1 0
Second Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Trained Hawk -1.00 0 1 0
Arrow Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Brisk Windtrotter +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/22168/archetypes/Wind Allies